Tuesday, February 5, 2008

West Bank/Gaza: Women are still more Supportive of Hamas

Arab World for Research and Development (AWRAD) conducted an opinion poll dated 16-18 January 2008 after and during the latest Gaza attacks. A representative sample, of 3200 Palestinians, was interviewed in all West Bank and Gaza districts.

The main results were published on January the 23rd showing a decline in the support for Fateh and a slight increase in the support for Hamas. One must note that the latest attacks on Gaza influenced Palestinian views on most issues. Other important factors in this poll were gender, age and education that are clearly correlated with political attitudes.

During the last decade, various polls had shown that women, youth and educated Palestinians comprised the main bulk of support for Hamas. This poll shows major shifts, where these groups do not seem to be as supportive of the movement as traditionally believed. The opposite is true for Fateh that seems to have made gains among young and educated respondents, but still lagging behind among women.

Fewer Women Supporting Hamas; No Signs of Reconciliation between Women and Fateh

Previous polling had shown that fewer women, than men, support the peace process, and more women, than men, support Hamas. The current poll shows a continuation in the gender gap for most political issues, but a declining gap on support for Hamas. Women are, however, still more reluctant to support Fateh.

Around 31% of men fully support the outcome of Annapolis and the continuation of negotiations.

This view is shared by 23% of the female respondents.

Again, 39% of men support the division of Jerusalem and exchange of sovereignty, compared with 25% of women.

51% of men support steps taken by Abbas to end the occupation, compared with 41% among women.

28% of women believe that Hamas has a real alternative to end the occupation, compared with 23% of men.

In terms of support for Hamas, the gender gap is declining with only 18% of the women stating that they will vote for the movement, compared with 16% among men.

When it comes to Fateh, the gender gap continues where 27% of the women and 37% of the men declared that they might vote for Fateh in a PLC election.

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